Southwest Monsoon Arrives Early in Kerala, Signals Robust Rainfall for 2025
The Southwest Monsoon has made an early entry into Kerala on May 24, 2025, eight days ahead of its usual schedule, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). This premature onset, the earliest since 2009, is expected to expand into Andhra Pradesh within days, promising significant rainfall across the region.
Early Monsoon Onset
The IMD announced that the Southwest Monsoon reached Kerala on May 24, 2025, compared to its typical onset around June 1. This marks the earliest arrival in 16 years, surpassing the previous record set on May 23, 2009.
Historical Context
In recent years, monsoon onset dates have varied: June 8 in 2023, May 29 in 2022, June 3 in 2021, and June 1 in 2020. The 2025 early arrival aligns with forecasts of above-normal rainfall, potentially boosting agricultural productivity.
Expansion to Andhra Pradesh
Meteorologists predict the monsoon will extend into Andhra Pradesh within two to three days, with widespread rainfall expected across the state by the second week of June. This progression is likely to benefit farmers reliant on monsoon rains for Kharif crops.
Low-Pressure System in Arabian Sea
A low-pressure system in the Arabian Sea near South Konkan has intensified into a cyclonic storm, moving eastward at 6 km/h. The IMD forecasts it will cross the South Konkan coast between Ratnagiri and Dapoli, potentially causing heavy rainfall along the western coast.
Telangana Rainfall Forecast
The Hyderabad Meteorological Centre predicts rainfall in Telangana over the next four days due to the Arabian Sea low-pressure system and an emerging system in the Bay of Bengal by May 27. A yellow alert has been issued for districts including Nirmal, Nizamabad, and Sangareddy, with thunderstorms and gusty winds expected.
Weather Alerts and Precautions
The IMD has urged residents in affected Telangana districts to remain vigilant due to potential thunderstorms, lightning, and winds of 30–40 km/h. This alert underscores the need for preparedness amid dynamic weather patterns.
Agricultural Implications
The early monsoon and anticipated above-average rainfall could significantly enhance agricultural output, particularly in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Farmers are likely to benefit from timely sowing and improved soil moisture levels.
Regional Weather Dynamics
The monsoon’s rapid progression, driven by low-pressure systems in both the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, signals an active weather phase. This could lead to widespread rainfall, potentially mitigating heatwave conditions across southern India.
Long-Term Forecast
The IMD’s projection of above-normal rainfall for 2025 suggests a robust monsoon season, potentially alleviating water scarcity concerns. However, close monitoring of cyclonic developments is essential to manage flood risks in vulnerable areas.